KuroKageX

Where Conviction Becomes Currency

The prediction market built on judgment, not capital. Launching June 2026.

Join the Waitlist

240+ early supporters already joined

Not Another Polymarket Clone

Judgment Over Capital

Your track record determines your standing. Not your wallet size. Skill-weighted positioning rewards conviction, not volume.

Asia-First, Japan-Rooted

Built from Tokyo for the world. Operating under Japan's progressive crypto framework — the most advanced regulatory environment in Asia.

Anti-Manipulation Engine

Fair pricing by design. No whale manipulation, no wash trading inflation. Markets that reflect real collective intelligence.

Shadow Council

100 Seats. Earned, Not Given.

FOUNDER
10 Seats
$5,000
150 Stake per seat
  • Lifetime access to all premium tools
  • Monthly founder-only briefing with core team
  • Priority proposal & veto rights
  • Exclusive badge & homepage highlight
  • Quarterly strategy sessions
  • Future ecosystem priority
Apply for Founder Seat
CAPTAIN ★ RECOMMENDED
30 Seats
$1,000
40 Stake per seat
  • Advanced tools access (12 months)
  • Advanced analytics dashboard
  • Quarterly council meetings
  • Voting rights on major decisions
  • Exclusive badge & profile highlight
  • Priority beta access
Apply for Captain Seat
MEMBER
60 Seats (including 20 merit-only)
$300 or FREE
10 Stake (paid) / 0 Stake (merit)
  • Premium features (6 months)
  • Basic analytics dashboard
  • Voting rights
  • Early beta testing access
  • Council member badge
  • 20 seats reserved for pure skill — zero cost entry
Apply for Member Seat

20 seats are reserved for pure merit. No payment required. Your track record is your ticket.

Total Council Value: $92,000  |  Total Stake: 3,100 / 10,000

Grow Your Shadow

Every prediction, every contribution compounds into your permanent rank.

Lv.1 Newcomer 0 SP Basic predictions
Lv.2 Scout 1,000 SP Data dashboard
Lv.3 Analyst 5,000 SP Bot tools + Review
Lv.4 Strategist 20,000 SP Advanced dashboard
Lv.5 Oracle 50,000 SP All premium features
Lv.6 Sage 100,000 SP Everything. Priority for all.

SP can be spent. Your level never drops.

5,000 SP = 1 Stake. Earn your way into the inner circle through pure contribution.

The Path Forward

2026 Q2
Genesis

Shadow Council formation. 100 founding seats. Closed beta launch June 15.

2026 Q3
Awakening

Public beta. First prediction markets go live. SP system activated.

2026 Q4
Expansion

Full platform launch. Bot marketplace. Advanced analytics suite.

2027 Q1
Dominion

Cross-chain expansion. Asia-Pacific market dominance. Revenue sharing begins.

Capital gets you in the door. Conviction keeps you at the table.

Secure Your Position

Join the Waitlist

Beta Launch In

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v 2.2 · Official

影之议会章程

Shadow Council Charter

The foundational document of the KuroKageX Shadow Council — 100 seats, built on judgment, participation, and long-term commitment.

General Principles

1.1 — What is Shadow Council?

The Shadow Council is KuroKageX's early core co-building organization. It is not an ordinary community, not a simple whitelist, and not a club you join with money alone. It is a core membership system built around judgment, sustained participation, and long-term commitment.

Total membership is fixed at 100 people. Joining the Council means you are not merely a platform user — you are a co-shaper of the platform's early order, rules, and culture.
1.2 — Core Principle
Capital gets you in the door. Conviction keeps you at the table.

KuroKageX's core belief is not "who has the most money," but "who has the sharpest judgment, who commits long-term, who truly participates in building." All qualifications, tiers, benefits, and future opportunities revolve around three criteria:

1.3 — Four Core Concepts
Concept Definition For Whom
SPPoints earned through predictions, invitations, content, and platform co-buildingEveryone
LevelIdentity tier that auto-advances with accumulated contribution — never dropsEveryone
Shadow Council100-member core co-building organizationAdvanced users
StakeAdvanced credential and share record within the CouncilCouncil members
1.4 — User Understanding Principle

Regular users don't need to understand the full mechanism from day one. Users only need to know:

  1. Make predictions and contribute → earn SP
  2. SP accumulation → level up
  3. Higher levels → unlock more features and opportunities
  4. Advanced users → eligible to enter the Shadow Council

All complex structure stays hidden in the backend — never forced on new users.

Stake — Advanced Credential

2.1 — Basic Parameters
ParameterValue
Total Stake Supply10,000
Minimum Unit0.1 Stake
Council Membership100 people
Council Total Stake3,100
Founding Team Stake2,000
Growth Reserve1,000
Community Pool3,900
SP Conversion Rate5,000 SP = 1 Stake
Micro-unit Rate500 SP = 0.1 Stake
Quarterly Pool Release Cap800 Stake
Conversion DirectionOne-way: SP → Stake
TransferabilityNon-tradeable, non-transferable (unless DAO-approved)
2.2 — Stake Distribution
Recipient Count Stake/seat Subtotal Share
Founder101501,50015.0%
Captain30401,20012.0%
Member (paid)40104004.0%
Member (merit)20000.0%
Council Total1003,10031.0%
Founding Team2,00020.0%
Growth Reserve1,00010.0%
Community Pool3,90039.0%
Grand Total10,000100%
2.3 — Three Council Tiers
FOUNDER · 10 Seats
150 Stake
$5,000 + interview + 55%+ win-rate proof
  • Lifetime access to all premium tools & dashboards
  • Highest-tier title, exclusive badge, homepage highlight
  • Priority proposal rights, founder monthly briefing
  • Quarterly strategy sessions, roadmap discussions
  • Priority access to new categories & future ecosystem
  • Obligation: 1 strategic vote + 1 feedback per quarter
CAPTAIN · 30 Seats
40 Stake
$1,000 + basic test or proof
  • Advanced tools access (12 months)
  • Advanced analytics dashboard
  • High-tier title, exclusive badge, profile highlight
  • Proposal participation, quarterly council meetings
  • Voting rights on major decisions, exclusive channel
  • Obligation: 1 vote per quarter minimum
MEMBER · 60 Seats
10 / 0 Stake
$300 paid path OR merit-only (20 seats reserved)
  • Premium features access (6 months)
  • Basic analytics dashboard
  • Council member title and badge
  • Voting rights and early beta testing
  • Obligation: 20 valid predictions per quarter
2.4 — What Seats Actually Mean
Identity Value
Level title, public badge, personal profile display
Feature Value
Premium Bot tools, advanced dashboards, review tools, priority beta
Participation Value
Proposals, voting, discussions, priority feedback channels
Historical Value
Council status becomes a key historical record in any future ecosystem incentive design
2.5 — Member Obligations

Each quarter, members must satisfy any two of the following:

  1. Participate in at least 1 governance vote
  2. Complete at least 20 predictions
  3. Publish at least 1 market analysis
  4. Invite at least 1 valid new user
2.6 — Dormancy & Recovery
Active
Meets quarterly requirements → all benefits normal
Dormant
1 quarter missed → voting and some premium features suspended. Restored next quarter if requirements met.
Warning
2 consecutive quarters missed → benefits suspended, placed on observation list. Restored next quarter if requirements met.
Revoked
4 consecutive quarters missed → seat released, Stake returned to Community Pool. Must reapply.
2.7 — Revenue Distribution

Once the platform achieves stable genuine revenue, Council revenue distribution may be activated in phases. Revenue is distributed proportionally by Stake held.

Revenue Source Council Share Operations Growth Reserve
Trading Fees15%65%20%
Bot Subscriptions10%70%20%
API / Data Services10%65%25%
2.8 — Revenue Milestones
千影 (Thousand Shadows)
Monthly Active: 1,000
Partial subscription revenue distribution activated
萬影 (Ten Thousand Shadows)
Monthly Active: 10,000
Full revenue distribution from all sources activated

SP & Level System

3.1 — What is SP?

SP (Shadow Points) is KuroKageX's core points system. Users earn SP through predictions, accurate hits, invitations, content, community participation, and platform co-building. SP serves three purposes:

3.2 — Backend Dual Records
Record Type Function Frontend Display
Cumulative ContributionDetermines level — only increasesNo
Available SPFor redemption and spending — can increase or decreaseYes
SP can be spent. But your level never drops because of spending.
3.3 — How to Earn SP
Action SP Daily Cap Note
Register & verify+100One-timeWelcome bonus
Valid prediction+10200Core behavior
Correct prediction+30No limitRewards judgment
3+ streak bonus×1.5Rewards consistency
7+ streak bonus×2.0Rewards elite judgment
Invite valid user+50150Prevents invite farming
Invitee's first hit+20Rewards quality referrals
Publish approved analysis+4080Rewards content
Product feedback adopted+200Per itemRewards co-building
Governance vote+30Rewards participation
Daily check-in+55Basic activity
3.4 — SP Decay Mechanism
ConditionEffect
Normally activeNo decay
30 days inactiveAvailable SP begins slow decay
60 days inactiveDecay accelerates
90 days inactiveAccount frozen — thaws when active again
Levels do not drop due to spending or decay. Decay only affects available SP.
3.5 — Level System
Level Threshold Title Unlocks
Lv.10 SPNewcomerBasic predictions
Lv.21,000 SPScoutData dashboard
Lv.35,000 SPAnalystBot tools, history review, SP→Stake eligible
Lv.420,000 SPStrategistAdvanced dashboard, deep analytics
Lv.550,000 SPOracleAll premium features, priority testing
Lv.6100,000 SPSageEverything. Max priority. Council observer eligible.
3.6 — Exchange Shop
SP Price Item Type Min Level
500Discord role (30 days)IdentityLv.1+
1,500Bot premium trial (7 days)FeatureLv.2+
2,000Trading fee discount voucherResourceLv.2+
3,000Advanced dashboard monthly passFeatureLv.3+
5,0001 Stake (when window open)Senior CredentialLv.3+
5,000Beta market priority accessOpportunityLv.3+
8,000Custom badgeIdentityLv.4+
15,000Founder closed AMA accessOpportunityLv.4+
20,000Co-creation test seatOpportunityLv.5+
30,000Annual summit closed seatOpportunityLv.5+
50,000Council special observer statusOpportunityLv.6

Invitation Mechanism

Inviting one strong user is worth more than inviting ten casual ones.
4.1 — Invitation Rewards
ConditionReward
Invitee completes first valid prediction+50 SP
Invitee's first correct prediction+20 SP
Invitee reaches Lv.2 within 30 days+300 SP

Max 3 valid invitation rewards counted per day. Same device, same IP, or abnormal accounts are excluded. Invite farming results in reward clawback and penalties.

4.2 — Invitation Leaderboard

A monthly high-quality invitation leaderboard is published. Rankings are based not on raw numbers, but on the genuine activity and quality of invited users.

Future Mapping Principles

5.1 — What We Can Say Publicly
SP is KuroKageX's long-term contribution record. Stake is a higher-tier credential record. If the platform introduces new ecosystem incentives or on-chain mechanisms in the future, historical contributions and historical credentials will serve as one of the key reference factors.
5.2 — What We Do Not Commit To
5.3 — Backend Reference Dimensions
DimensionMeaning
Prediction ScorePrediction accuracy and hit quality
Contribution ScoreContent, product feedback, and co-building quality
Governance ScoreDepth of governance participation
Loyalty ScoreDuration of continuous activity and stability

Governance Mechanism

Vote rarely. Vote on what matters. Daily operations are the founding team's responsibility.
6.1 — Voting Types
Type Frequency Pass Condition Initiated By
Strategic DirectionQuarterlySimple majorityFounding team
New Category ProposalsAs neededSimple majorityFounder / Captain
Emergency VetoAs neededSupermajority (≥67%)Council members
Stake IssuanceVery low frequencySupermajority + founding team consentFounding team
Growth Reserve UseAs neededSupermajorityFounding team
6.2 — Basic Governance Rules

Growth Milestones

Genesis
Council 100 seats filled
Council officially established
First Hundred
First core user cohort formed
First round of Exchange Shop windows open
Thousand
Monthly Active: 1,000
Partial revenue mechanism activated
Ten Thousand
Monthly Active: 10,000
Full distribution mechanism activated
Shadow Domain
Monthly volume reaches critical scale
Higher-tier ecosystem discussions begin
Shadow Realm
Platform enters mature expansion phase
Entry into complete ecosystem design

Anti-Cheat & Order Mechanism

8.1 — Anti-Farming Principles
8.2 — Severe Violation Penalties
ViolationPenalty
Bulk registration to farm SPPermanent ban
Falsified records for Council applicationLifetime exclusion
Selling / buying seatsSeat revoked
Market manipulationAccount frozen + further action
Impersonating official to make false promisesImmediate credential removal

Resource & Budget Principles

Product Development (MVP, Bot, core features)
33%
Infrastructure (servers, security, monitoring)
13%
Brand Building (design, content, awareness)
9%
Community Growth (KOL, partnerships, experiments)
20%
Compliance Support (legal & structural advisory)
11%
Emergency Reserve (sustained operations buffer)
15%

Expression Standards & Compliance

This chapter provides a unified external communication framework for all KuroKageX members — founding team, community moderators, KOL partners, and Agent Bots. All public communications must stay within this framework.

10.1 — Expression Principles
Facts First
Only state what has happened, is happening, or can be verified
Neutral Tone
Use "designed to" / "intended for" — never "guarantees"
Risk Visible
Any discussion of future mechanisms must note uncertainty
Class A — Free to use
Introducing Shadow Council
"Shadow Council is KuroKageX's early core co-building organization — 100 vetted members participating in early platform building."
Introducing SP
"SP (Shadow Points) is a contribution record system — covering prediction accuracy, community participation, and content output."
Attracting members
"Your judgment should be recorded, recognized, and compounded."
Brand positioning
"KuroKageX is a judgment-centered prediction market platform."
Differentiation
"Unlike existing platforms, KuroKageX's core asset is your judgment record — not just your capital."
Class B — Use with qualifiers
❌ Don't say"Your SP will definitely become Token"
✅ Say instead"Historical contribution data will be a reference factor in future ecosystem design, but the specific form is not yet determined."
❌ Don't say"Join earlier = earn more"
✅ Say instead"Early participants will have a more complete historical contribution record — something that is scarce in any system."
❌ Don't say"Holding Stake means dividends"
✅ Say instead"When the platform has stable revenue, a revenue-sharing mechanism may be explored in phases. Specifics will be announced at that time."
❌ Don't say"We will issue a Token"
✅ Say instead"The platform reserves the possibility of exploring on-chain mechanisms in the future, but currently has no specific plan or timeline."
Class C — Absolutely prohibited
Prohibited ExpressionWhy Prohibited
"Joining locks in future assets"Constitutes an investment implication, may trigger securities law review
"SP maps to Token at fixed ratio"Constitutes a fixed return promise
"Stake definitely corresponds to on-chain rights"May be classified as a security
"This is an investment opportunity"Directly contradicts the prediction market's functional positioning
"Guaranteed returns / can't lose"Illegal expression in any jurisdiction
"Buy early = cheaper, will go up"Typical securities marketing language
"Buying Stake = buying shares"Directly classifies Stake as a security
Any form of "financial advice" / "investment advice"Violates globally accepted compliance requirements
10.4 — Disclaimer
KuroKageX is a prediction market platform. Shadow Points (SP), Levels, and Stake are internal contribution tracking mechanisms and do not constitute securities, financial instruments, or investment contracts. Participation in the Shadow Council does not guarantee any financial return. All references to potential future mechanisms are forward-looking statements subject to change. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, or legal advice. KuroKageX reserves the right to modify platform mechanisms, eligibility criteria, and reward structures at any time.
Appendix — Amendment Rules

This charter was drafted by the founding team. After the Council is established, amendments require a supermajority vote of the Council (≥67%) combined with founding team agreement. During the building phase (first 24 months), the founding team retains the right of final interpretation and emergency amendment.

Version: v2.2
Date: April 2026
Status: Official Release
黒 · 影 · X

KuroKageX

黒影X

In darkness, clarity. In shadows, truth.

The Name

Kuro
Clarity in Darkness

In Japanese, 黒字 (kuroji) means profit. Black is not fear — it is the color of earnings. While others chase spotlights and hype, true judgment lives in the dark. Kuro is the calm in chaos, the clarity when markets panic.

Kage
The Observer's Stance

In Japanese culture, 影 carries deep meaning: Kagemusha — the shadow warrior who controls from behind the curtain. KuroKageX users are shadows: observing beyond the noise, judging, striking. No spotlight needed. In 15 minutes, the market speaks for them.

X
X
The Unknown Variable

Every market event is an X. Will BTC break resistance tonight? What does that whale movement mean? For 400 years, finance has tried to solve X. KuroKageX gives everyone the right to answer X — and be rewarded for being right.

KuroKageX = The clear-eyed observer in darkness, pricing the unknown.

Mission & Vision

Mission
Make conviction a compounding asset.
Vision
Events are assets. Conviction is capital. Pricing the world from Asia.
Ten-Year Vision
Become Asia's most trusted event pricing platform.

From Tokyo to the world — building the infrastructure for credible, manipulation-free event markets across the Asia-Pacific region and beyond.

Born at 3AM in Tokyo

It was 2:43 AM in Tokyo. Only the screen's light in the room.

I was watching a BTC 15-minute contract on Polymarket — would it break $68,000? My analysis was clear: large exchange inflows in the past two hours, plus Asian session selling pressure. I gave a 70% probability to a drop.

As I prepared to place my order, the price jumped from 0.48 to 0.62 in three seconds.

Not because the market consensus changed. A bot had swept the book before me. I refreshed the order book — a wall of identical micro-orders appeared on the buy side, perfectly uniform, as if stamped from a mold.

I didn't place my order.

15 minutes later, BTC dropped. My judgment was right. But I earned nothing.

That night, lying in bed, one thought kept circling: this world rewards the loudest voice, not the most accurate judgment. That's wrong.

The seed of KuroKageX was planted at 3AM in Tokyo.

About KuroKageX: The 400-Year Gap

Finance is the science of pricing. Pricing is the art of expectation. Expectation is driven by events.

From the Dutch East India Company's first stock in 1602 to today, finance has spent four hundred years pricing assets. DCF, PE, SOTP — every model tries to capture what something is worth. But none of these models have ever assigned an independent price to the thing that actually drives prices: events.

A regulatory ruling, a hack, a whale's on-chain move — these events rewrite crypto prices every day. But before they happen, ordinary people have no tools to capture and act on them.

第一幕 / Act I
A World of Noise

In 2025, the crypto market produces more than 100,000 "analyses" and "predictions" every day. KOLs on Twitter shout "BTC to 100K" or "dump to zero." Telegram groups are flooded with signals, noise, and panic.

But here is the absurdity: in this world saturated with predictions, no one is required to pay any price for being wrong.

Callers who call it wrong delete their tweets and keep calling. Analysts who judge wrong pivot and keep writing. Meanwhile, the ordinary person — the one actually thinking, judging, and bearing the consequences at their screen — their intelligence has never been systematically recorded or rewarded.

And the world's largest prediction markets are all built in the United States — for American users, American events, American regulation. Asia, the world's fastest-growing crypto market, 500 million users, has no event pricing venue of its own.

第二幕 / Act II
Truth in Shadows

KuroKageX is not another trading terminal. Not a "faster Polymarket."

KuroKageX is Asia's first pricing platform built for short-cycle crypto events. From the first line of code, it was designed for 5–15 minute judgment windows — the UI, settlement logic, liquidity mechanics, and community systems all orbit a single belief: judgment is the most undervalued asset in the world.

On KuroKageX, every correct judgment leaves a permanent mark. It becomes your Shadow Points, accumulates into your Shadow Stake, and ultimately becomes your real equity in the platform. You are not a user. You are a co-builder.

We are rooted in Japan because Japanese culture's belief in restraint, precision, and truth revealed through silence resonates perfectly with our product philosophy. We do not do hype culture. We do not do FOMO marketing. We do not do get-rich narratives.

We do one thing: let the market tell you in 15 minutes whether your judgment was right.

第三幕 / Act III
Why Now

In 2026, three things happen simultaneously:

  • Japan completes crypto asset reclassification, reducing tax from 55% to 20% — the largest regulatory window in Asia opens
  • Polymarket is blocked in Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand — the American giant's Asian expansion is halted
  • Global prediction market trading volume exceeds $60 billion — this is no longer a "niche track"

The window is open. The question is not "does Asia need an event pricing platform" — it is "who establishes it first."

KuroKageX launches in 60 days. Everyone who joins now is not just an "early user" — you are a founding member of this platform.

Our Beliefs

01
Judgment Over Volume

We reward accuracy, not transaction size. Your conviction track record is your most valuable asset on this platform.

02
Builders, Not Users

Early members are founders, not traffic. Your participation shapes the platform, and the platform rewards your contribution permanently.

03
Math Protects You

Our bot tools shield users from manipulation, not exploit them. Algorithms serve the community — not the other way around.

Capital gets you in the door. Conviction keeps you at the table.

Personal Story

I am not a Silicon Valley founder. No Stanford degree. No Sequoia backing.

I am a trader and entrepreneur who has fought in Asian markets. My team is spread across Vietnam, Japan, Singapore, and Australia. We do not drink coffee in San Francisco co-working spaces debating business models — we stare at candlestick charts at night, answering community messages on Telegram at 3AM.

I built KuroKageX because I was that Asian user — surrounded by noise, ignored by the giants.

I used Polymarket: English interface, American political events dominating half the market, thin liquidity in Asian time zones, support that might as well not exist. I used every kind of signal group: when you win it's luck, when you lose it's your fault, and no one cares whether your judgment is actually getting better.

I learned one thing from options markets: judgment is trainable, but you need a fast-feedback system to train it. Theta decay taught me the value of time. Credit spreads taught me the discipline of probability. But the barrier to entry for these tools is too high. Most people cannot get in.

I asked myself: if there were a platform that let every ordinary person verify their judgment in 5 minutes, build a reputation from accumulated accuracy, and gain real platform equity through early participation — and this platform was built for Asian users — what would it look like?

KuroKageX is the answer to that question.

FAQ

Three key differences. The product was built from line one for 5–15 minute short-cycle markets — not bolted on as an afterthought. It rewards accuracy, not capital size. And our math-model Bots protect users from Bot exploitation, rather than letting Bots harvest you.
Early on, liquidity is routed through the Polymarket API. At the same time, Shadow Points incentivize community market-making behavior. In the initial phase, only BTC and ETH markets are open, concentrating liquidity for maximum depth.
No. 100 seats is the hard cap. But outside the Council, there is a complete SP → Stake accumulation pathway. When the platform reaches 1,000 users, the first revenue pool is unlocked. At 10,000 users, a larger pool is unlocked. All early members share proportionally by Shadow Stake.
Yes. Founder has 10 global seats, with a $5,000 investment threshold — but also requires a demonstrated win rate of 55% or above. Capital is only one criterion; judgment is the core filter. Upon passing: 150 Shadow Stake, highest-tier title, and all Bot tools free permanently.
Three modules, each solving one problem:
  • Shadow Calculator: Enter your subjective probability, and it uses the Kelly formula to calculate optimal position size. It doesn't tell you the direction — only manages your position.
  • Shadow Lens: Detects Bot anomalies in real time, flagging high/low activity zones so you decide whether to enter.
  • Shadow Score: Tracks your prediction accuracy using Brier Score, generating a judgment rating. The leaderboard ranks by accuracy, not by profit.
Prediction markets and options markets are mathematically isomorphic. KuroKageX is positioned as an event-pricing tool — essentially what the Chicago Board Options Exchange does, with a lower barrier to entry and shorter cycles.
The SP system rewards accuracy, not bet size. A user with $100 capital and 70% accuracy accumulates more standing and long-term benefits than a user with $10,000 capital and 45% accuracy.
Shadow Council has 100 seats, Founder has 10, Captain has 30 — once filled, they close permanently. The SP and Shadow Stake you accumulate now convert directly into revenue distribution shares when the platform hits user milestones. If a Token is ever issued, Shadow Stake maps to Token allocation. If no Token is issued, it maps to fee-sharing instead.
Yes. Shadow Stake is issued as NFTs with a total supply of 10,000 — no additional issuance ever. The platform provides no official trading window. If users wish to transfer privately, it must pass a DAO vote first. This design prevents Shadow Stake from becoming a speculative asset — it represents platform equity and accumulated judgment, not a trading chip.